PACER

PACER · Portfolio Agent for Cadence Experimentation and Reporting

Five portfolios. One frozen rulebook.
Twelve months to settle it.

Does deciding more often make you richer, or just busier? And can an AI with a research budget beat rules that never flinch? PACER runs identical stakes through different decision cadences, and one judgment model with live web access, then logs every signal, every trade, and every thesis. The verdict will be data, not vibes.

Sign in Access is invite only. Viewers see performance; trade directions stay private.

How it works

Every night, PACER pulls end-of-day market data, validates it ruthlessly (partial data means no trades, ever), computes each model's signals with zero discretion, and writes tomorrow's trade tickets. Today, a human executes them at the market open; nothing trades itself. Fills reconcile back through an audited email rail, and the books are rebuilt from the raw trade log every single night. Even the days nothing happens are recorded, because the boring days are a key part of the dataset.

The five contenders

The baseline

M0 · The Control

Buys the index on day one and never touches it again. Every other model exists to justify doing more than nothing.

The mechanicals · one frozen rulebook, three calendars

M1, M2, and M3 run identical rules over the same menu: industry sector ETFs (technology, health care, financials, energy, industrials) plus gold and long treasuries. The only variable is how often each one is allowed to decide.

M1 · The Disciplined

Looks at the market daily and determines a weekly adjustment Sunday night. Trades Monday morning, then watches and learns throughout the week.

M2 · The Twitchy

Re-evaluates every single close with the same rules as M1. Same brain, forty times the caffeine.

M3 · The Patient

Same rules as M1, but rebalances once a month. Ignores the panic brake; volatility is someone else's concern.

The judgment

AI models running the show - total control, with a choice of models.

M4 · The Judgment

A frontier AI with live web research and an unbounded universe of US-listed instruments, on a leash: hard position caps, instrument screens, and a rule that its thesis goes on the record before any trade exists. Pick its brain at kickoff: Claude Fable, Opus, or Sonnet, and a campaign can race several brains side by side, one sleeve each.

What's under the hood

Frozen rules, hashed

The ruleset freezes at launch and its hash is stamped into every decision record. Nobody quietly improves the strategy in month seven.

A tamper-proof memory

Every evaluation stores the exact prices it saw. When data vendors restate history (they do), the decisions stay reproducible.

Judgment with a leash

AI proposals pass position limits, leverage and OTC screens, and price checks. Anything invalid becomes a logged HOLD, never a hand-patched trade.

Campaigns

A named experiment: pick a roster of models, pick the AI brains (one sleeve per LLM), set the stake, choose real money or paper, and race them in parallel over the same market days.

Paper mode

Simulated fills at the closing price, no brokerage required. Test whether Sonnet beats Opus before a dollar moves.

The morning cockpit

Sign in, see exactly which trades are due, check them off as you fill them, and copy a pre-composed reconciliation email. The badge only clears when fills actually land.

Cost honesty

Every AI call logs its tokens and its dollars, hold weeks included. The scorecard shows what each campaign's judgment actually cost.

An escape hatch

Every record mirrors nightly to plain CSV. The whole experiment is reconstructable without any vendor, database, or goodwill.

The bets, registered before day one

Pre-registered hypotheses are the anti-hindsight device: written down before the first trade, graded at twelve months, no edits in between.

Anatomy of a campaign

  1. Name it. "Q4 LLM Derby" beats "test-2".
  2. Pick the roster. Any mix of the four mechanical models, plus one judgment sleeve per AI you want in the race.
  3. Set the stakes. One amount per sleeve, so every contender starts equal.
  4. Choose the mode. Real money runs through the morning cockpit and a brokerage. Paper simulates fills at the close.
  5. Start on a Monday. Every sleeve enters the same day; from then on each keeps its own cadence, and everything each one thinks and does accrues to that campaign's history.

Today, campaigns are kicked off by the operator. A hosted run-your-own-campaign tier is on the roadmap.

Sign in

Invite only. A signed-in viewer sees charts, scorecards, and signal history; tickets, trades, and briefs stay with the operator.

Already have an account on HouseLedgerAI.com, AICashFlow.ReboundMan.com, or SSA.ReboundMan.com? That same sign-in works here; the finance apps share one login.

PACER is a personal research experiment in decision cadence, not an investment product. Nothing here is investment advice. All trades are executed manually by the account owner; the system is decision support and record-keeping. Hypotheses are pre-registered and results will be reported against them, wins and losses alike.